Retail Planby RetailNorthstar

Size curve calculator

A size curve is the distribution of demand across the sizes of a style. This calculator turns total units and a percentage per size into size-level quantities for a style, color, or assortment.

Size curves help planners translate style/color demand into size-level buys. They are especially important for apparel because demand is not evenly distributed across sizes.

Definition
A size curve is the percentage mix used to split total planned demand into size-level units. It tells you what share of a style, color, or assortment buy each size should represent.
Definition — Size curve
A size curve distributes total planned demand across the sizes of a style — for example XS through XXL. Each size's share should sum to 100%, so the curve converts a style or color buy into a clean size-level quantity for both D2C and wholesale orders.
Size units = total units × size's % share of demand
Used by: Merchandise planners, buyers, allocators
Related: Assortment planning, buy planning, sell-through, demand forecasting

Merchandise planners, buyers, and allocators who need to translate a style or color buy into the right units per size for apparel assortment planning.

Use it when placing a buy, building an assortment plan, or allocating units across channels and door clusters that sell to different size mixes.

Spreadsheets are useful when the process is small and controlled. They become risky when multiple teams need the same version of the plan, when assumptions change frequently, or when decisions must flow into POs, production, and allocation.

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Enter total units and a percentage per size to see the size-level breakdown.
What this result means
Each size’s units equals total units multiplied by that size’s share of demand. If the percentages do not total 100%, the split is incomplete and the allocated total will not match your buy. Rounding to whole units can leave a small difference — assign it to your highest-volume size.
What to check next
  • Confirm the percentages sum to 100% before you commit the buy.
  • Sanity-check the curve against last season’s size sell-through, not just an even split.
  • Use a different curve for styles or channels that sell to different size mixes.
  • Reconcile the rounded size units back to the total buy quantity.
Where spreadsheets usually break
In a spreadsheet, size curves quickly multiply — one per style, color, and channel — and they drift out of sync with the assortment plan and the actual buy. Updating a curve rarely flows through to the purchase order quantities automatically.
How RetailNorthstar helps
RetailNorthstar can connect size curves to assortment plans, demand forecasts, buying, and purchase order creation so size-level decisions do not live in disconnected spreadsheets.
See the connected workflow

Want a reusable worksheet? Download the free size curve template, or read the guide on how to calculate size curves.

Frequently asked questions

What is a size curve?
A size curve is the distribution of demand across the sizes of a style — for example XS through XXL. It tells you what share of total units each size should represent, so you can translate a style or color buy into size-level quantities.
How do you calculate size-level quantities?
Multiply the total units by each size’s percentage share. For example, if you are buying 1,000 units and size M is 30% of the curve, M gets 300 units. Repeat for every size; the shares should sum to 100%.
Should size curves be the same for every style?
No. Size curves vary by fit, silhouette, category, and customer. A relaxed knit and a tailored bottom often sell to different size mixes, so applying one curve to every style usually leaves the wrong sizes short or overstocked.
Why do size curves change by channel or region?
Different stores, regions, and channels serve different customers, so their size demand differs. Curves shift with local fit preferences, climate-driven assortments, and how online versus store shoppers buy — which is why many planners hold separate curves by channel or door cluster.

Your calculator result is one number. RetailNorthstar keeps the whole plan connected — line plan, OTB, assortment, buy, POs, and production.

See the connected workflow in RetailNorthstar